Weekly forecasting terminal
Outright probabilities, projected scores and Asian Handicap lines.
Libertadores · Sudamericana
The CONMEBOL Predictive Engine
A South American forecasting engine built around a Bivariate Poisson grid with explicit handling for altitude and venue anomalies.
US$120/full season · Season pass · Model estimates are informational only.
What you get
CONMEBOL Matrix
Season pass
Early release window
The supplied product description positions outputs around 48 hours before kickoff.
Libertadores coverage
Forecasting coverage across Copa Libertadores.
Sudamericana coverage
Forecasting coverage across Copa Sudamericana.
Get the product
CONMEBOL Matrix
US$120/full season
Checkout and digital delivery are handled through Math & Bets on Gumroad.
Under the hood
How the engine is built.
01
Bivariate Poisson grid
The model represents team scoring jointly rather than treating both sides as completely independent processes.
02
Altitude adjustment
Extreme altitude is treated explicitly so high-altitude venues are not modelled the same way as sea-level fixtures.
03
Neutral-venue handling
The framework includes adjustments for venue anomalies and neutral-site situations.
04
Backtest sample
The supplied product description references 1,206 out-of-sample matches across four seasons from 2022 to 2025.
FAQ
What to know before you use it.
Why is altitude important?
The current model design treats high-altitude venues as structurally different scoring environments rather than a generic home-field effect.
Which competitions are included?
Copa Libertadores and Copa Sudamericana.
Is this a weekly subscription?
The product is positioned as a season pass, with weekly terminal updates during the competition calendar.
Math & Bets
From intuition to probability.
Use the model as a second opinion — then decide for yourself.