Forecasting terminal
A dark-mode HTML dashboard for the UEFA slate.
Champions · Europa · Conference
The UEFA Predictive Engine
A European tournament forecasting engine designed to handle extreme mismatches across the Champions League, Europa League and Conference League.
US$120/full season · Season pass · Model estimates are informational only.
What you get
UEFA Matrix
Season pass
Expected points
Model expectation for each side.
Probability distributions
Full match-level probability output.
Value tiers
A structured comparison layer between model prices and the market.
Get the product
UEFA Matrix
US$120/full season
Checkout and digital delivery are handled through Math & Bets on Gumroad.
Under the hood
How the engine is built.
01
Dynamic xG cap
The current framework caps extreme xG projections to avoid unrealistic certainty in heavily mismatched fixtures.
02
10,000 simulations
Each fixture is simulated 10,000 times to generate the final probability distribution.
03
Platt scaling
The supplied workflow uses Platt-scaled probabilities as part of its calibration process.
04
Multi-tier coverage
The product covers Champions League, Europa League and Conference League throughout the season.
05
Backtest sample
The supplied product description references 3,321 modelled matches across the three UEFA tiers from 2022 to 2025.
FAQ
What to know before you use it.
Which competitions are included?
Champions League, Europa League and Conference League.
Is this weekly or seasonal?
This product is positioned as a season pass covering the European calendar.
What does the backtest sample include?
The supplied product description references 3,321 matches across the three UEFA tiers from 2022 to 2025.
Math & Bets
From intuition to probability.
Use the model as a second opinion — then decide for yourself.